The release of monthly change in nonfarm payrolls (i.e. US Jobs Report) is due for release Friday at 12:30 GMT and has historically sparked serious volatility in the US Dollar and spot EUR/USD prices.
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Donnerstag, 31. Oktober 2019
Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Surges, Is This The Bottom?
Weeks of USD declines versus the Canadian Dollar could have come to an end after the Bank of Canada issued an undeniably dovish outlook at Wednesday’s meeting.
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Rate Cut Odds Shift After Fed, BOC, BOJ Meetings - Central Bank Watch
The Federal Reserve delivered its rate cut, and while hinting at a pause in the cut cycle, Fed Chair Powell made clear no rate hikes are coming any time soon.
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Japanese Yen Outperforms, Month-End Rebalancing Signals US Dollar Selling - US Market Open
Japanese Yen outperforms after China doubts a long-term trade deal will happen with President Trump. Euro holds onto gains while downside risks remain for the South African Rand.
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US Dollar Falls After 'Really Significant' Remark: USD to Support
The US Dollar has fallen since a key comment in yesterday's FOMC press conference. Can Dollar sellers continue to push with the threat of rate hikes diminished?
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EUR/GBP Outlook: Bearish Chart Pattern Starting to Form
EUR/GBP is stuck in a tight trading range and is nearing weak support. A break lower will take us to a near 6-month low.
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EUR/USD Outlook: Eurozone GDP and Inflation Beat Lowly Expectations
Slightly better-than-expected Eurozone inflation and growth data gave EUR/USD a small boost Thursday putting technical resistance under pressure.
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Euro Outlook: EUR/USD May Reverse Gains on Eurozone GDP, CPI Data
EUR/USD may reverse some of its recent gains against the US Dollar if Eurozone CPI and GDP data leads to capital outflow from the Euro.
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Crude Oil Prices Gain as Weak China Data Burnish Stimulus Hopes
Crude oil pices rose despite evidence of renewed weakness in China's manufacturing sector. Gold prices gained even as the Fed signaled a pause in interest rate cuts.
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US Dollar Response to Fed Rate Decision, Explained
The US Dollar might have been expected to rise as the Federal Reserve signaled a pause in its interest rate cut cycle. It plunged instead. Why?
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EUR/USD Eyes August-High Again as Fed Pledges to “Respond Accordingly”
EUR/USD appears to be making another attempt to test the August-high (1.1250) as the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell pledges to “respond accordingly” to the economic outlook.
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Closed Buy #EURUSD 1.11485 for +15.4 pips, total for today +15.4 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Closed Buy #EURUSD 1.11485 for +15.4 pips, total for today +15.4 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 31, 2019
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October 31, 2019 at 02:20AM
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Australian Dollar Capped As China Manufacturing PMI Misses Forecasts
The Australian Dollar made gains after US borrowing costs fell but these were halted by news that China's manufacturing sector remains mired.
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USD/KRW Looks to Samsung Earnings, PCE Data After FOMC Decision
USD/KRW will be bracing for Samsung Q3 earnings and US PCE data following the FOMC rate decision and critical commentary from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
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Mittwoch, 30. Oktober 2019
FOMC Rate Decision: US Dollar Vulnerable Around Fed Meeting
Fed meetings tend to cause above-average volatility in the US Dollar. Here's how EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD and USD/CHF typically respond to FOMC rate decisions.
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Australian Dollar Outlook: Aussie Turn or Burn? AUD/USD Trade Levels
The Australian Dollar surged into critical trend resistance again this week with the FOMC & NFP on tap. Here are the levels that matter on the AUD/USD weekly charts.
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Bought #EURUSD 1.11131 SL 1.1102 TP 1.11574 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Bought #EURUSD 1.11131 SL 1.1102 TP 1.11574 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 30, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 30, 2019 at 03:20PM
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Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11126 for -0.5 pips, total for today +22.8 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11126 for -0.5 pips, total for today +22.8 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 30, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 30, 2019 at 03:20PM
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Closed Buy #EURUSD 1.11085 for +4.1 pips, total for today +23.3 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Closed Buy #EURUSD 1.11085 for +4.1 pips, total for today +23.3 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 30, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 30, 2019 at 03:20PM
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FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.
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Canadian Dollar Price Outlook: BoC Holds, USD/CAD Rallies
Today's Bank of Canada rate decision saw the BoC hold rates steady as widely expected, but highlighted weaker expectations for growth. Focus now shifts to the Fed.
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Bought #EURUSD 1.11085 SL 1.10979 TP 1.1151 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Bought #EURUSD 1.11085 SL 1.10979 TP 1.1151 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 30, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 30, 2019 at 03:05PM
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FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.
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Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.1114 for +5.5 pips, total for today +19.2 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.1114 for +5.5 pips, total for today +19.2 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 30, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 30, 2019 at 03:05PM
via Twitter
FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.
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Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.1114 for +5.7 pips, total for today +13.7 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.1114 for +5.7 pips, total for today +13.7 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 30, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 30, 2019 at 03:05PM
via Twitter
FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.
Links
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Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11161 for +8.0 pips, total for today +8.0 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11161 for +8.0 pips, total for today +8.0 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 30, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 30, 2019 at 03:05PM
via Twitter
FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.
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US Dollar Rises Ahead of Fed, South African Rand Crashes, CAD Eyes BoC - US Market Open
US Dollar rises on Q3 GDP beat, while South African Rand posts largest drop this year. Canadian Dollar looks to BoC.
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Pre-FOMC Preview: Gold, GBP/USD and USD/JPY
Today brings the FOMC for another widely-expected rate cut. But what will Powell say about the Fed's stance in the coming quarters?
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US Dollar Outlook: US Q3 GDP Starter Before FOMC Main Course
The US dollar may be in for a bumpy ride later in the today’s session with the first look at US Q3 GDP ahead of the latest FOMC rate decision.
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Canadian Dollar Price Outlook: USD/CAD Volatility Soars on BoC and Fed Risk
BoC is expected to stand pat on interest rates and keep its neutral stance in light of resilient data. Focus is on the Fed’s outlook for greater USD/CAD volatility.
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Brexit Latest: Sterling (GBP) Untroubled by General Election Fears, FOMC Ahead
Sterling remains near highs last seen five-months ago against a range of currencies as traders bet that UK PM Boris Johnson will win the December 12 General Election.
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Japanese Yen to Rise if the Fed Disappoints Dovish Market Hopes
The Japanese Yen may build on its nearly two-year uptrend if Fed guidance falls short of the markets’ ultra-dovish hopes for upcoming US monetary policy.
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EUR/USD Downtrend May Accelerate Ahead of Critical Economic Data
The Euro’s decline may accelerate if key regional data reinforces concerns about the Eurozone’s growth prospects against the backdrop of the FOMC rate decision.
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Gold Prices Up Despite Fed Rate Cut Forecasts as Trade Hopes Take Hit
Commodities markets are like all others looking to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision but the US-Chin a trade story is never far away.
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USD/JPY Bullish, NZD/USD Bearish Contrarian Outlook Ahead of Fed
The Japanese Yen and New Zealand Dollar may weaken against the US Dollar on IG Client Sentiment forecasts ahead of the Federal Reserve’s highly-anticipated interest rate cut.
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BRL, USD Brace for BCB, FOMC Rate Decisions Amid Trade War Perils
The US Dollar may rise vs the Brazilian Real and emerging market FX if the post-FOMC rate decision press briefing spooks markets and puts a premium on liquidity over returns.
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FOMC Rate Decision: US Dollar Vulnerable Around Fed Meetings
Fed meetings tend to cause above-average volatility in the US Dollar. Here's how EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD and USD/CHF typically respond to FOMC rate decisions.
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Australian Dollar Finds Support As 3Q CPI Data Match Expectations
The Australian Dollar had wilted into this important release, suggesting that some in the market were looking for more weakness. In the end inflation was as expected, still below target.
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US Dollar May Rise if FOMC, US GDP Data Spooks Equity Markets
The US Dollar may rise at the expense of equity markets if US GDP data and gloomy FOMC commentary undermine confidence in global growth prospects.
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US Dollar Price Volatility Report: Fed & Q3 GDP on Deck
The US Dollar will be in focus during Wednesday's trading session which is far from lacking in scheduled event risk with the latest FOMC rate decision, Q3 US GDP report and more on deck.
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Canadian Dollar May Fall on USD/CAD Reversal Cues, Trade War Fears
The Canadian Dollar may weaken on US economic slowdown spillover fears following soft housing and consumer confidence data. The Japanese Yen may gain on US-China trade war woes.
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Dienstag, 29. Oktober 2019
FOMC Rate Decision: US Dollar Vulnerable Around Fed Meetings
Fed meetings tend to cause above-average volatility in the US Dollar. Here's how EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD and USD/CHF typically respond to FOMC rate decisions.
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Crude Oil Price Outlook Looks Bearish at Resistance Ahead of FOMC
The price of crude oil may fall under pressure in the coming days as the market dissects the Fed’s October rate decision and in turn, the demand outlook for the commodity.
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SPX Drops on Trade War Headlines
The S&P 500 drops on trade war uncertainty as Reuters reports that the US and China may not sign phase one of the trade agreement at Chile's APEC summit as previously expected
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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Plummets into Support- Loonie Stall?
The Canadian Dollar offensive has stalled with a three-week breakdown taking price into initial support. Here are the levels that matter on the USD/CAD weekly charts.
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US Dollar Drops on Consumer Confidence Miss Ahead of FOMC
USD price action came under pressure following a disappointing Consumer Confidence report for October which sent the US Dollar Index to session lows.
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GBP/USD Muted, USD/JPY Rejects 200DMA, EUR/CAD Tests 7-Year Trendline - US Market Open
The UK look to be heading towards a December general election. Canadian Dollar tracks oil prices lower, while Japanese Yen rejects 200DMA.
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Gold Price Outlook: Bull Flag Tested, Can Gold Bulls Break Through?
Gold prices remain in a bull flag formation and last week's resistance test has seen a hold of October highs. Will Gold bulls re-take control around FOMC?
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EUR/USD Biased Lower as High Importance Data and Events Near
The Eurozone economic calendar is packed full of market moving data in the second half of the week, and with the Euro already struggling, further falls in the single currency may well be on the cards.
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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Testing Support as Rate Decisions Loom
USD/CAD continues to move lower and is nearing multi-month support. Wednesday’s FOMC and BoC interest rate decisions - and rhetoric - may be the catalyst for the next leg lower.
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Brexit Briefing: GBP/USD Eyes Today's Vote for Early Election
GBP/USD calm as Boris Johnson looks to try force an early election again in today's vote.
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GBP/USD May Wobble Between Brexit Woes, US Consumer Confidence
GBP/USD may oscillate between the perils of Brexit and US consumer confidence data, though volatility may be tempered by traders withholding capital until the FOMC rate decision.
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Crude Oil Prices Slip Back as Market Looks Nervously to US Stockpiles
Commodity markets are generally in thrall to hopes for a US rate cut, and better news on the US-China trade front. Oil has more specific worries in mind, with inventories in focus.
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Gold Price Forecast: Bull Flag on Radar Ahead of Fed Rate Decision
Failure to test the monthly-low ($1459) may bring the topside targets on the radar for gold as a bull-flag formation continues to take shape.
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US Dollar May Rise on USD/INR Bullish Hint as India Credit Teeters
The US Dollar may rise against the Indian Rupee with the latter vulnerable to deteriorating local credit conditions. The USD/INR chart hints that a turn higher may be due ahead.
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Palladium Prices Jump to Record High But Signs of Trouble Brewing
Palladium prices jumped to a record high above the $1800/oz figure but technical cues warn of ebbing momentum even as fundamental headwinds gather.
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US-China Trade War Crushes FDI in Latest Sign of Real-World Hit
Growth-linked currencies have gained as investors hope for progress on the trade front as well as stimulus from the Fed.The global economy however remains depressed and seems likely to remain so.
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NZD/USD Rate Rebound Unravels Following Failed Test of September High
The recent rebound in NZD/USD unravels ahead of the September-high (0.6451), with the exchange rate carving a fresh series of lower highs and lows.
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US Dollar Outlook: USD/KRW Downtrend May Slow Ahead of FOMC
USD/KRW’s decline may soften if the US Dollar edges higher ahead of the FOMC rate decision against the backdrop of sour South Korean business survey data.
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GBP not off the Hook as Parliament Rejects Election, AUD May Gain
The British Pound is still at risk to falling after the UK Parliament rejected a call for an early general election. Ahead, the Japanese Yen may weaken as the Australian Dollar gains.
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Montag, 28. Oktober 2019
Hong Kong Slips into Recession, but Fed Meeting Steals the Spotlight
The Hong Kong economy, the 31st largest in the world, slipped into a technical recession according to the city’s Financial Secretary aid, yet the development has been largely overshadowed by the Fed.
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US Dollar Price Volatility Report: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY Eyed
Ahead of the October Fed meeting, the US Dollar turns to the latest consumer confidence report and brings USD/JPY into focus while GBP/USD eyes Brexit and AUD/USD a speech from RBA's Lowe.
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Nasdaq 100 Outlook: Top Earnings to Watch in the Week Ahead
The Nasdaq will look to extend its rally with the help of earnings reports from Facebook, Apple and Google in the week ahead. Still, Wednesday’s Fed meeting could derail such an attempt.
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VIX: Risk of Complacency as Stocks Hit Record on Fed & Trade Hopes
The VIX Index took a nosedive below the 13.00 handle as stocks in the S&P 500 soared to fresh records ahead of another Fed rate cut as as President Trump jawboned risk assets higher with trade opti...
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Bollinger Band Signals: Gold, GBP/USD, USD/CAD & Dow
Trading with Bollinger Bands can offer useful insight on market price action considering the technical indicator's simplicity and unique characteristics.
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Rate Cuts Due from the Fed and BOJ, BOC Cut Odds Plummet - Central Bank Watch
Both the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan are expected to cut rates when they meet next week.
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US Dollar Price Outlook: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
It's a big week for the US Dollar and a number of drivers on this week's economic calendar can prod volatility in either direction.
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GBP/USD Eyes Early Election Vote, S&P 500 at Record High on Trade War Latest - US Market Open
Tentative trade in FX markets with major pairs holding relatively tight ranges ahead of this week’s key risk events. GBP/USD looks to general early election vote.
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Dollar, Pound, Dow – Prepare for Volatility with FOMC, GDP, More
Though there was some moderate lift in risk-leaning assets and even a few technical milestones marked this past week, the markets have not yet committed to a clear direction nor even shift in momen...
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Gold Price Forecast - Chart Breakout Suggest Higher Prices Ahead
Gold broke out of its technical range on Friday and may well look to push further ahead. Traders should be wary of a slew of high importance US data releases out this week that may stifle the curre...
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British Pound Braces for Brexit Turmoil. General Election Ahead?
The British Pound may suffer if UK lawmakers continue to flounder on a possible path forward for Brexit as the October 31 deadline looms. Will there be an election?
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Gold Prices Steady Despite US-China Trade Hopes as Market Eyes Fed
Gold prices generally wilt when risk appetite is seen gravitating toward riskier assets but the prospect of lower US rates underpinned the metal.
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USD/CAD Rate Depreciation Stalls Ahead of BoC and Fed Rate Decisions
The decline in USD/CAD appears to have stalled, but the Canadian Dollar may continue to outperform its US counterpart as the Fed is expected to deliver another rate cut.
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US Dollar May Gain vs SGD, MYR, PHP on Trade Wars, Fed, GDP Data
The US Dollar may rise versus the Singapore Dollar, Malaysian Ringgit and Philippine Peso. US-China trade war woes, Fed, GDP and APAC manufacturing data leave room for risk aversion.
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AUD/USD Forecast: RSI Offers Bearish Signal Ahead of Australia CPI
AUD/USD may continue to give back the advance from the 2019-low (0.6671) as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers a bearish signal.
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US Dollar May Rise vs NOK and SEK on FOMC, Q3 Earnings, GDP Data
The US Dollar may rise against the Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone if the FOMC rate decision, Q3 earnings, GDP data and Brexit boost the appeal of anti-risk assets.
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Japanese Yen May Fall as US Dollar Sets Up to Overturn Downtrend
The anti-risk Japanese Yen may see slight weakness early into the week as the US Dollar sets itself up to reverse the near-term downtrend. Will APAC stocks follow Wall Street higher?
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Sonntag, 27. Oktober 2019
US Dollar Weekly Forecast: After May Fed Meeting & April NFP, Fed Speakers & April Inflation Due Up
Rates markets are discounting a 90% chance of a 25-bps rate cut this week at the October Fed meeting. Meanwhile, the September US jobs report looks like it will be weak.
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Dollar, Pound, Dow – Prepare for Volatility with FOMC, GDP, More
Though there was some moderate lift in risk-leaning assets and even a few technical milestones marked this past week, the markets have not yet committed to a clear direction nor even shift in momen...
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Dow Jones and FTSE 100 Forecast for the Week Ahead
FTSE 100 posts the strongest weekly rise in 9-months as Pound drops on election risks, while Dow Jones looks to corporate earnings, NFP and Fed decision.
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Sterling (GBP) Weekly Outlook Under Pressure From Brexit and Parliament
Sterling is flagging going into the weekend and may struggle to recover as the shambles otherwise known as Brexit continues to weigh on the British Pound.
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Samstag, 26. Oktober 2019
Gold Price Outlook Hinges on Fed Rate Decision and Forward Guidance
The Federal Reserve interest rate decision is likely to influence the price of gold as the central bank is widely expected to deliver another rate cut in October.
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Crude Oil Price Outlook Bearish on OPEC Output, Fed, US-China Trade
The crude oil price outlook is bearish as the Fed rate decision, US-China trade tensions and Brexit uncertainty risk overpowering upside pressure from the next OPEC production report.
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Australian Dollar Market Will Be Fed Focused, But Watch Aussie CPI
A livelier week is in prospect for the Australian Dollar with one or two fascinating domestic data points in prospect before we get to the main event.
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Freitag, 25. Oktober 2019
US Dollar Price Volatility Report & Implied Trading Ranges for Next Week
The US Dollar faces intimidating event risk ahead with US GDP data and a FOMC rate decision on deck. Here's where major USD currency pairs are expected to trade next week.
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Closed # 0.0 for 0.0 pips, total for today +28.6 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
Closed # 0.0 for 0.0 pips, total for today +28.6 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52
— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) October 25, 2019
from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10
October 25, 2019 at 10:04PM
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FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.
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