Top Trade Idea 2020: Canadian Dollar 2020 Outlook, Yield Advantage Against AUD and NZD

My top trading opportunities in 2019 were going long the Canadian Dollar against currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand Dollars.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long European Equities on Fiscal Stimulus Prospects

In the twilight of 2019, the Eurozone economy saw its annual growth forecast slip to the lowest since 2013 after flirting with stagnation for months, but rounded out the year with a comfortably pos...

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short: EUR/NZD – Bearish Signals on the weekly chart

On Oct 18, uptrend move led EUR/NZD to a multi- year high at 1.7929. On Oct of this year the price rallied again. However, the pair has not been able to push towards the previous peak highlighting ...

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Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD/USD Surges, but Rally Looks Overdone

The Australian Dollar added to recent gains as President Trump announced the United States and China will meet to sign the “Phase One” trade deal on January 15. Can AUD/USD extend higher still?

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long EUR/JPY – Chart Suggests a Bullish Set-up in the Making

My forex-pair to watch for a longer-term set-up in 2020 is long EUR/JPY with the charts currently suggesting that the heavy sell-off initiated at the start of 2018 is finally breaking down.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short EUR/GBP – Sterling to Rise as Brexit Uncertainty Fades After UK Election

The election of a clear majority government in the UK after years of Brexit deadlock won't make all the nation's considerable economic and social difficulties disappear but it does remove uncertain...

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US Dollar Gyrates after Consumer Confidence Miss

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index printed a reading of 126.5 for December, missing expectations of 128.2 as the short -term outlook for income and labor market conditions decrease

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long Equities and USD/SEK, Then Short AUD/JPY on Political Risk

In 2020's adolescence, markets may continue to rejoice on ethereal optimism of improving fundamentals and US-China trade relations, but that may turn sour as the year progresses

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GBP Forecast 1Q-2020: Sterling Eyes New Brexit Deadline

The final quarter of the decade for the Pound has been its best, with the currency gaining 6.6% against the US Dollar.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Global Recession? Take the Under: Long Crude Oil, Long CAD/JPY

One of the most popular calls in the second half of 2019 was that the global economy, led by the US, was moving towards a recession.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short USD/JPY Below 6-Year Wedge

We start off this new trading year with an unmistakable speculative appetite that has pushed certain benchmarks of 'risk' - like the Dow and S&P 500 - to record highs.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short AUD/USD, Ranging USD/CAD

The AUD/USD rebound following the 2019 currency market flash-crash has been capped by the 200-Day SMA (0.6909), with the exchange rate staging multiple failed attempts to break/close above the movi...

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China-Sweden Tensions Flare Up: Another Trade War in 2020?

While Sino-US trade jitters are temporarily abating, China-Swedish trade tensions are rising as a part of a political contagion of growing economic hostilities between nations across the world.

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Crude Oil Prices Hold Close to 3-Month Highs On US-China Trade Hopes

Crude oil markets have been notably short of holiday season profit-taking which suggests that some investors see further upside as 2020 starts

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Bullish AUD/USD Behavior to Persist as RSI Pushes Into Overbought Zone

Recent developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) cast a bullish outlook for AUD/USD as the oscillator pushes into overbought territory.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: USD/MXN Set Up for a Volatility Breakout; Good Omen for Dollar, FX Vol

USD/MXN is setting itself for a major breakout in volatility, and of course with it a large price moves once the breakout sorts itself out, clean or not.

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Why Markets Will be Closely Watching US Housing Data in 2020

Housing data may be more heavily scrutinized in 2020 as softer global growth places more stress on the consumer to keep the American economy afloat.

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Top 5 Most Market Moving Grey Swans to Watch for 2020

There are events for which an intense impact is still a possibility but for which their occurrence is at least a possible blip on the radar. These are ‘Grey Swans’ and these are my top five for 2020.

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EUR Forecast 1Q-2020: Weakness Likely to Persist in Early 2020 Before Rallying Later in The Year

The persistent weakness of the Euro against the US Dollar, which began in late September 2018, will likely persist in the first few months of 2020 although a rally could follow as the US Presidenti...

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Gold Price Clears November High as RSI Sits in Overbought Territory

The price of gold clears the November high ($1516) and recent developments in the RSI instill a bullish outlook for bullion as the oscillator sits in overbought territory.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long NOKSEK – Seasonal Trends Remain Prominent

As has typically been the case over the past 5-years price action in NOK/SEK has been typically characterized by selling into the yearend before posting a notable rebound in Q1.

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Australian Dollar Up as China Manufacturing PMI Hangs On Above 50

The Australian Dollar continued to gain on a holiday-hit Tuesday as official data showed that China’s nascent manufacturing expansion lasted another month.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Long Gold as Central Banks Remain Accommodative and Inflation Rebounds

The performance of gold was quite solid in the first half of 2019 and even outpaced the rally in major equity indices like the Dow Jones for part of the year.

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Short EUR/CHF, EUR/JPY as Eurozone Economy Suffers from Impact of Brexit

Looking back at the forecasts made a year ago by the DailyFX analysts, I was struck by the fact that four of us were bearish the Euro: two against the Japanese Yen and one against the Canadian Doll...

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Top Trade Idea 2020: Support Central Banks Plus a Big Election Keep Focus on Long Gold

Next year brings another Presidential Election in the United States, and given the outlay of the past three years, it seems almost obvious that President Trump is going to want to stimulate the eco...

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Bitcoin Price Forecast 2020: BTC/USD Lacks Bullish Sentiment, For Now

After surging more than 260% in the first six months of 2019, Bitcoin will end the year in a relatively disappointing fashion. Can BTC/USD regain its charm in 2020, or will it fall further?

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Dollar 2020 Outlook: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, AUD/USD Technical Charts

Updated technical charts for the US Dollar Majors heading into the start of the 2020 trade. These are the levels that matter on Euro, Loonie and Aussie weekly charts.

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Gold Price Outlook: Risk of Upside Breakout Despite Resistance Holding

Gold prices have remained underpinned by the continued pullback in the US Dollar. However, while resistance has capped further upside, seasonal trends may come into effect.

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Fed Monetary Policy Outlook in 2020: FOMC Voting Changes

2020 will see four regional Fed presidents rotate into voting spots, which will make for a slightly more dovish FOMC committee.

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Why Markets Will be Closely Watching US Housing Data in 2020

Housing data may be more heavily scrutinized in 2020 as softer global growth places more stress on the consumer to keep the American economy afloat.

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Gold Prices Inch Up as US Iraq-Syria Strikes Bring Risk Appetite Down

Gold prices headed up in Asia as news of US strikes on Iranian backed militia offset the effects of more record Wall Street highs.

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How Crude Oil Prices React to Weather-Induced Disruption Fears

With increasing volatility in weather patterns, how might storms, hurricanes and floods rattle the supply chain for petroleum-based products and impact crude oil prices?

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EUR/USD Prices Soared in Thin Trade But Key Resistance Held

The EUR/USD had its best day since August in thin trade, but the Euro stopped short of resistance. Foreign exchange markets remain focused on risk trends as 2019 wraps up.

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Gold Forecast 1Q-2020: Shift in US Trade Policy Casts Bullish Outlook

The price of gold appears to be stuck in a narrow range after trading at its highest level since 2013, but the precious metal may continue to exhibit a bullish behavior in 2020 as market participan...

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AUD Forecast 1Q-2020: Australian Dollar Outlook Grim on Fed RBA Rates Path

The Australian Dollar steadied in the fourth quarter. The bellwether AUD/USD exchange rate settled into a choppy range after finding support at decade lows in early August as ebbing concerns about ...

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GBP Forecast 1Q-2020: Sterling Eyes New Brexit Deadline

The final quarter of the decade for the Pound has been its best, with the currency gaining 6.6% against the US Dollar.

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EUR Forecast 1Q-2020: Weakness Likely to Persist in Early 2020 Before Rallying Later in The Year

The persistent weakness of the Euro against the US Dollar, which began in late September 2018, will likely persist in the first few months of 2020 although a rally could follow as the US Presidenti...

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Bitcoin Price Forecast 2020: BTC/USD Lacks Bullish Sentiment, For Now

After surging more than 260% in the first six months of 2019, Bitcoin will end the year in a relatively disappointing fashion. Can BTC/USD regain its charm in 2020, or will it fall further?

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Will the Stock Market Crash in 2020?

The stock market enjoyed an incredible rally in 2019 despite a string of warranted concerns. While many have been resolved, some of the most worrisome remain. Will they cause a stock market crash i...

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Canadian Dollar Risks 2020 Breakout as USD/CAD Drops to Key Support

Following the tightest yearly range in over a decade, 2020 may see USD/CAD break out provided the pair falls through key support.

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Historical Volatility: A Timeline of the Biggest Volatility Cycles

Past periods of volatility set historical precedence for traders navigating the markets today. Discover the biggest volatility cycles and spikes ever witnessed.

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Fed Monetary Policy Outlook in 2020: FOMC Voting Changes

2020 will see four regional Fed presidents rotate into voting spots, which will make for a slightly more dovish FOMC committee.

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Euro Braces For 2020 Ahead of Trade Wars, Debt Risks, Slow Growth

The fundamental outlook in 2020 presents a myriad of formidable obstacles for the Euro including trade wars and debt risks that could erase its recent gains and accelerate its 10-year downtrend.

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Crude OIl Prices Nudge Three Month Peaks As US Data Lift Demand Hopes

Crude oil has had a pretty good year between hopes for a US-China trade deal and supply cuts from traditional producers. It seems set to exit 2019 on a high note.

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SGD Faces Tough Road Ahead as Singapore Output Contrasts PMIs

The worst Singapore industrial production since 2010 contrasted with the improving outlook in global PMIs on US-China trade deal bets. That may come back to bite the Singapore Dollar.

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Currencies May See Wild Swings if Slow Growth Breaks CLO Market

Currency markets may be battered by breakneck volatility if a slowdown in global economic growth triggers a collapse in the fragile market for collateralized loan obligations (CLOs).

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Top 5 Most Market Moving Grey Swans to Watch for 2020

There are events for which an intense impact is still a possibility but for which their occurrence is at least a possible blip on the radar. These are ‘Grey Swans’ and these are my top five for 2020.

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Currencies May See Wild Swings if Slow Growth Breaks CLO Market

Currency markets may be battered by breakneck volatility if a slowdown in global economic growth triggers a collapse in the fragile market for collateralized loan obligations (CLOs).

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Top Trading Lessons: Technicals Hold All the Weight, Not the Click-Bait

Heading into the start of 2019, the news headlines and financial publications would have had you thinking the UK economy was going into a tailspin with many calling for parity on GBP/USD as concern...

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Australian Dollar Steady as China Industrial Profits Return To Growth

The Australan Dollar rose only slightly in a holiday-thinned market on news that Chinese industrial fortunes managed to bounce back last month.

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Australian Dollar May Rise as AUD/USD, AUD/JPY Rates Eye Breakout

The Australian Dollar may rise as AUD/USD and AUD/JPY face major technical breakouts after the S&P 500 gained and Amazon reported “record-breaking” holiday sales in thin trade.

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Historical Volatility: A Timeline of the Biggest Volatility Cycles

Past periods of volatility set historical precedence for traders navigating the markets today. Discover the biggest volatility cycles and spikes ever witnessed.

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Gold Bulls Search for Low/Uptrend Resumption

Heading into the start of Q4 we noted that while the broader outlook remains constructive, seasonal tendencies do not favor gold in the fourth quarter and the advance is vulnerable heading into Oct...

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Closed # 0.0 for 0.0 pips, total for today 0.0 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

Closed # 0.0 for 0.0 pips, total for today 0.0 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) December 26, 2019

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December 26, 2019 at 04:05PM
via Twitter

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Japanese Yen Pressured as Big Problems Seem to Fade

The Japanese Yen sails into a new quarter and indeed a new year with some clear difficulties, at least if you’d like to be a bull. Will they last?

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AUD/USD Bottom Lacks Confirmation into 2020

AUD/USD managed to recover about 1.6 to 1.8 percent in the last three months of 2019. While this might have been the best quarter since Q3 2017, it certainly was not the most exciting.

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Top Trading Lessons: The Critical Task of Learning to Lose Gracefully

This did require more time and effort on my part when I planned out trades, but it ultimately saved me from larger-than-expected losses.

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Stock Market 2020 Forecast: Stocks to Round Out 2019 at Record Levels, Where to Next?

The fourth quarter saw global equity markets roar high as some key headwinds were put on pause and investors seized the opportunity to bid stocks higher. Can they continue the rally in 2020?

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Top Trading Lessons: Remember the Basis of Your Trade

Remember why you entered the position in the first place: Listen to your analysis and stay true to your trading style and typical timeframe.

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Top Trading Lessons: Not Letting My Profits Run to Target

While taking a profit is not wrong, the reason that I cut these positions certainly was wrong as I did not let my trade play out.

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Top Trading Lessons: Trust Your Fundamental Analysis and Ignore the FOMO

This year taught me a valuable trading lesson: trust your fundamental analysis and ignore the insidious pull of FOMO.

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Top Trading Lessons: Make the Plan, Trade the Plan; Don’t Succumb to Paralysis by Analysis

The traders that were able to successfully navigate the tempestuous market environment were those that were ruthless practitioners of basic risk management principles.

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Top Trading Lessons: Global Markets Aren't a Two Player Game

How often do you catch yourself referring to trades or analysis as an effort to 'beat the market'? For myself, the answer is far too often given the fallacy in logic that it can represent.

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Top Trading Lessons: Rely on Price Action When Fundamentals Don’t Make Sense

Major developments coming out of the US swayed the financial markets throughout 2019 as the Federal Reserve delivered three consecutive rate cuts in response to the shift in trade policy.

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CRUDE OIL FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST: Q1 2020

Crude Oil May Rise on Easing Trade War Risks, OPEC Supply Cuts

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Top Trading Lessons: Allowed Too Much ‘Wiggle’ Room on Profitable Trades in Wrong Environment

Coming into 2019 the top takeaway from the year prior was that I was a bit too selective as a result of trying to adjust to the low-volatility environment, so I decided to loosen it up a bit even i...

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Top Trading Lessons: Don't Fight the Fed

At the backend of 2018, the Federal Reserve had signaled that monetary tightening was on ‘autopilot’, which in turn had led towards a late 2018 equity market rout.

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Gold Price Outlook: XAU/USD Bullish Breakout With Bets of a Top?

Gold prices confirmed a bullish technical breakout as the US Dollar and bond yields fell. Net long positioning is on the decline. Could this mark a reversal for XAU/USD?

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Top Trading Lessons: Stay Cognizant of Cycles and Seasonality

Patterns in life appear everywhere - including financial markets and the macroeconomy.

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Top Trading Lessons: Global Economic Weakness Should Damage the Oil Price, So Why Didn't It?

Analysts and traders spent much of 2019 worrying about weakening global economic growth, and they were right to be concerned.

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US DOLLAR FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST: Q1 2020

Will Risk Trend, Recession Fears or Trump Break Dollar from Its Stasis?

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Historical Volatility: A Timeline of the Biggest Volatility Cycles

Past periods of volatility set historical precedence for traders navigating the markets today. Discover the biggest volatility cycles and spikes ever witnessed.

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Hits 6-Week High, Overbought Signal Flashes

Gold is back at levels last seen in early November as turnover cools into the holiday season. One warning signal is now flashing as gold enters a zone of congestion.

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Fed Monetary Policy Outlook in 2020: FOMC Voting Changes

2020 will see four regional Fed presidents rotate into voting spots, which will make for a slightly more dovish FOMC committee.

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British Pound Groans on Brexit as Holidays Leave Thin Liquidity

The British Pound continues to suffer amid thin liquidity during the holidays as no-deal Brexit fears continue to pressure GBP heading into the new year.

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Gold Prices Up as Weaker US Data Hit Risk Appetite. Trade Story Drives

Gold prices have had a late year boost which have seen them break through many key technical resistance points this week.

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Palladium on Path to Bearish Correction? Silver Outlook Bullish

Palladium prices have reached a record high this year, though recent price action suggests a bearish correction may be in the cards. Silver, on the other hand, may have a bullish streak ahead.

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Canadian Dollar Soars, Euro Sinks. Will 2020 See Fortunes Reverse?

The Canadian Dollar looks like this year’s major currency winner, with higher oil prices and tempting interest rates among its charms. They should serve it well into the New Year too.

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Swedish Krona, Norwegian Krone Outlook Bullish in Q1, 2020

The outlook for the Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone is bullish for Q1 2020 as ethereal market optimism about fundamental themes pushes risk-oriented assets higher. What could derail their ascension?

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GBP/USD Rate Follows Bearish Technical Cues. AUD, NZD Prices Rise

The British Pound fell, following bearish GBP/USD technical forecast signals. The Australian and New Zealand Dollars rose with stocks. Soft US durable goods orders cooled the S&P 500.

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A Market Reversal is Inevitable but Traders' Experience Delays the Reckoning

A systemic turn in the global markets is inevitable but timing is always the most important qualifier. After a decade’s climb and clear deviation from traditional ‘fundamentals’ perhaps inexperienc...

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Top 5 Most Volatile Events of 2019: Charts & Themes to Remember

Volatility across asset classes gyrated broadly throughout 2019 largely in response domineering themes like trade war, monetary policy, geopolitics and recession uncertainty, which will linger into...

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Bitcoin Price Forecast 2020: BTC/USD Lacks Bullish Sentiment, For Now

After surging more than 260% in the first six months of 2019, Bitcoin will end the year in a relatively disappointing fashion. Can BTC/USD regain its charm in 2020, or will it fall further?

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US Dollar Outlook: DXY Rises into Year-End, but Death-Cross Looms

The US Dollar has edged higher as year-end approaches, but the DXY Index faces a bearish death cross of its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which could weigh on USD price action.

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EUR/USD Forecast - Battling Short-Term Technical Indicators

EUR/USD remains just off its two-week low and is currently stuck between two short-term moving averages in holiday-thinned market conditions.

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US Dollar May Rise on Housing Data and Industrial Reports

The US Dollar may tick higher if US housing data shows strong growth in a key sector of the economy, and upside gains may be amplified by improving industrial data.

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Crude Oil Prices Drift Lower Despite US-China Trade Hopes

Crude oil prices remain close to three-month peaks, supported by rising hopes that China and the US can get an interim deal over the line and move on to a more substantive agreement.

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Swiss Franc Likely to Stay Strong Despite Best SNB Efforts

The Swiss Franc will remain investors’ lifeboat of choice even if the Swiss authorities, and indeed Swiss savers, might dearly like them to pick another one.

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Swedish Krona, Norwegian Krone Outlook Bullish in Q1, 2020

The outlook for the Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone is bullish for Q1 2020 as ethereal market optimism about fundamental themes pushes risk-oriented assets higher. What could derail their ascension?

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SGD, PHP, IDR, MYR Outlook Hinges on Balance Between Fed, Sentiment

The US Dollar outlook against the SGD, MYR, PHP and IDR into next year could be a delicate balance between improving sentiment and fading 2020 Federal Reserve easing expectations.

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Stocks May Turn Defensive with US Presidential Election Eyed

Global stocks may turn defensive as the calendar turns to 2020 and financial markets turn their attention to the outcome of the US presidential election.

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EUR/USD Prices Overturn Bullish Outlook as US Dollar Rallies

The US Dollar rose as its yield advantage shined in “risk-on” trade, reversing prior bullish technical signals in EUR/USD. The Canadian Dollar fell on dismal local retail sales.

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Gold Bulls Search for Low/Uptrend Resumption

Heading into the start of Q4 we noted that while the broader outlook remains constructive, seasonal tendencies do not favor gold in the fourth quarter and the advance is vulnerable heading into Oct...

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Japanese Yen Pressured as Big Problems Seem to Fade

The Japanese Yen sails into a new quarter and indeed a new year with some clear difficulties, at least if you’d like to be a bull. Will they last?

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AUD/USD Bottom Lacks Confirmation into 2020

AUD/USD managed to recover about 1.6 to 1.8 percent in the last three months of 2019. While this might have been the best quarter since Q3 2017, it certainly was not the most exciting.

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Stock Market 2020 Forecast: Stocks to Round Out 2019 at Record Levels, Where to Next?

The fourth quarter saw global equity markets roar high as some key headwinds were put on pause and investors seized the opportunity to bid stocks higher. Can they continue the rally in 2020?

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CRUDE OIL FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST: Q1 2020

Crude Oil May Rise on Easing Trade War Risks, OPEC Supply Cuts

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US DOLLAR FORECAST: Q1 2020

Will Risk Trend, Recession Fears or Trump Break Dollar from Its Stasis?

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How to Invest During a Recession: Investments & Strategy

Economic recessions are often accompanied by stock market crashes and extended periods of low returns. Here are some of the best investments to hold during a recession.

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US Dollar Outlook: DXY Rips into Resistance – USD Levels to Watch

The US Dollar Index (DXY) faces a looming bearish death cross of its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which could serve as a major headwind to USD price action going forward.

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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Drops to Support, Will it Break Out?

The Canadian Dollar surged against its southern neighbor in December after encountering resistance around 1.3350. Falling to longstanding trendline support, will USD/CAD breakout in 2020?

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USD/JPY Jumps to Session Highs as the Dollar Gains on US Data

The US Dollar is rising toward intraday highs on better-than-expected data on the US economy like personal income, spending and core PCE inflation, which is crimping FOMC interest rate cut odds.

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US Dollar Volatility May Rise Next Year: DXY, EUR, CAD Charts & More

As we are nearly set to begin a new year, the question is: Could 2020 bring better trading with a breakout in volatility?

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Sterling Price Forecast: GBP/USD Challenging Big Figure Support

Sterling (GBP) has come under selling pressure in recent days and given back all the post-election rally. GBPUSD remains positive but will need to respect support if it is to push higher.

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US Dollar May Rise on PCE Data and Trade War Optimism

The US Dollar may rise against its major counterparts if key economic statistics cool Fed rate cut bets amid a climate of market buoyancy. EUR/USD to test key support?

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Gold to Track November Range with US-China to Sign Trade Deal in 2020

The price of gold may continue to track the range from November as the US and China look to sign the Phase One trade deal in January.

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Crude Oil Prices Strong, Look Set For Third Straight Weekly Gain

Crude oil prices are still benefitting from hopes that even an interim trade deal between China and the United States will mean much stronger global energy demand.

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British Pound Outlook Bearish Amid Renewed No-Deal Brexit Fears

Renewed Brexit fears have battered the British Pound and caused EUR/GBP and GBP/USD to spike and plunge, respectively. Both pairs are now approaching key technical levels.

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CAD Price Forecast: USD/CAD, NZD/CAD Rates May Rise on Canada GDP

Near-term Canadian Dollar strength could be at risk to next week’s local GDP report. Technical analysis hints that USD/CAD may turn higher as NZD/CAD maintains its uptrend.

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Swiss Franc Likely to Stay Strong Despite Best SNB Efforts

The Swiss Franc will remain investors’ lifeboat of choice even if the Swiss authorities, and indeed Swiss savers, might dearly like them to pick another one.

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AUD/USD Rebound Undermined by Historical Behavior Around 200-Day SMA

The failed attempt to close above the 200-Day SMA (0.6904) undermines the recent rebound in AUD/USD amid the historical tendency around the moving average.

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GBP/USD Rate Reversal May Accelerate as NZD/USD Price Rises

The British Pound’s descent may prolong, reversing the dominant uptrend in GBP/USD. Ahead, the pro-risk New Zealand Dollar may rise as the anti-risk Japanese Yen weakens.

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Stock Market Forecast: Russell, EM Breakout May Suggest Another Rally

The Russell 2000 and emerging market equities were largely left behind during recent stock rallies, until a US-China phase one trade deal opened the door higher for both stock baskets.

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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Drops to Support, Will it Breakout?

The Canadian Dollar surged against its southern neighbor in December after encountering resistance around 1.3350. Falling to longstanding trendline support, will USD/CAD breakout in 2020?

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75 Years Later, The Lessons of Bretton Woods Have Been Forgotten

The 75th anniversary of the Bretton Woods conference was at the end of July, and the concerns that were present in 1944 are reasserting themselves as significant threats to the global economy in 2019.

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AUD/USD Bounces Back, GBP/USD Selling Persists - US Market Open

RBA given room to breathe on Australian Jobs data, post-election GBP/USD selling shows little signs of reversing.

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GBPUSD whipsaws as MPC leave rates unchanged and signal economic recovery

GBPUSD attempts a recovery but fails to push higher as the pair continues its sideways trend going into the end of the year.

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Sweden's Riksbank Raises Interest Rates: EUR/SEK Downtrend Remains Intact

The Swedish central bank has lifted interest rates out of negative territory for the first time in nearly five years.

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Brexit Briefing: EU Warning, Queen's Speech, Bank of England and GBP

Sterling continues to hold its ground after an EU warning that a no-deal Brexit would hurt the UK more than the EU; coming up, the Queen’s Speech and a central bank rate decision are unlikely to mo...

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Stocks May Turn Defensive with US Presidential Election Eyed

Global stocks may turn defensive as the calendar turns to 2020 and financial markets turn their attention to the outcome of the US presidential election.

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GBP, SEK, NOK Brace for BoE, Norges Bank and Riksbank Rate Decisions

The BoE, Norges Bank and Riksbank are all announcing their rate decisions, but British Pound, Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone traders primarily have their eye on one – and it’s not what you think.

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NZD/USD Correction Unravels as RSI Falls Back from Overbought Zone

Recent developments in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) warn of further losses in NZD/USD as the oscillator falls back from overbought territory.

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Gold Prices Gain as Trump Impeachment Takes Over From Trade Worries

Gold prices maintained their bid on news that the US President will become only the third office holder to face trial in the Senate.

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EUR/USD Rate Forecast: RSI Offers Bearish Signal

EUR/USD carves a fresh series of lower highs and lows, with the RSI offering a bearish signal as the oscillator snaps the upward trend carried over from November.

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Australian Dollar Gains. Job Creation Returns to Health, Smashes Forecasts

The Australian Dollar got a boost as November's employment data came surging back to form. The RBA is closely watching this series, strength here may make lower rates less likely.

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Canadian Dollar Rose With Crude Oil Prices, Will Yen Look Past BoJ?

The Canadian Dollar gained on a combination of rosy local CPI data and rising crude oil prices. The anti-risk Japanese Yen may look past the Bank of Japan in favor of market mood.

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NZD/USD Rises after Upbeat GDP Report Tampers RBNZ Cut Odds

New Zealand GDP printed at 2.3% on a year-over-year basis, meeting expectations and beating expectations on a Quarterly basis at 0.7%

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US Dollar Outlook: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/MXN Set for Volatility

The US Dollar is on pace to extend its rebound attempt,but the retracement higher may prove to be short-lived if support-turned-resistance hinders further upside. Meanwhile, GBP/USD, AUD/USD & USD/...

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Stock Market Forecast: Russell, EM Breakout May Suggest Another Rally

The Russell 2000 and emerging market equities were largely left behind during recent stock rallies, until a US-China phase one trade deal opened the door higher for both stock baskets.

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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Breakout Imminent– Loonie Levels

The Canadian Dollar has carved out a well-defined weekly opening-range just above the November lows. Here are the levels that matter on the USD/CAD technical charts.

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Emerging Markets Crisis Monitor - Seven Factors Traders Should Watch

All currencies are not the same; emerging market FX trades differently than developed market FX.

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Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11149 for -10.4 pips, total for today -10.4 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11149 for -10.4 pips, total for today -10.4 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) December 18, 2019

from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10

December 18, 2019 at 04:38PM
via Twitter

FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.

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US Dollar Attempts a Comeback: EUR/USD, GBP/USD Give Back Gains

In the final full trading week of 2019 the US Dollar is attempting to stage a reversal to further claw back prior December losses.

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Sold #EURUSD 1.11149 SL 1.11253 TP 1.11097 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

Sold #EURUSD 1.11149 SL 1.11253 TP 1.11097 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) December 18, 2019

from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10

December 18, 2019 at 02:17PM
via Twitter

FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.

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Dow Jones, Crude Oil & More: Indices, Commodity Technical Outlook

In today's session, we discussed the outlook of various indices and commodities as the year quickly comes to a close.

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Gold Price Outlook: Looking to Push Higher After Recent Consolidation

Gold is trading sideways to marginally higher, supported by all three moving averages. A clean break could bring $1,500/oz+ back into play.

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Brexit Briefing: GBP/USD Stabilizes Despite Doubts About Trade Talks

Sterling has steadied in the foreign exchanges even though Brussels is warning that only a basic free trade agreement between the UK and the EU can be reached by the end of 2020.

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EUR/USD Outlook Murky Ahead of German IFO Data, EU-US Tension

The Euro may fall against the US Dollar and cause EUR/USD to retreat from key resistance if German IFO data and EU-US trade tensions spook regional traders.

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Crude Oil Prices Slip As US Stock Build Puts EIA Data In Urgent Focus

Crude oil prices were hit by yet another unexpected stock rebuild in the US even as investors hope that reduced supply will meet rising demand if a US-China trade deal can fly.

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Gold Price Forecast: RSI Foreshadows Change in Behavior

Developments in the RSI instill a constructive outlook for gold and foreshadow a potential change in market behavior as the oscillator breaks out a bearish formation.

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Copper Outlook Bullish as Trade Risks Abate, Boosts Commodities

Copper prices are hovering at seven-month highs amid easing US-China trade tensions, reviving market buoyancy and an appetite for risk-oriented commodities.

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British Pound, Australian Dollar Outlook Against Yen: Trader Bets

The Japanese Yen may fall against the British Pound but strengthen against the Australian Dollar based on preliminary signals in GBP/JPY and AUD/JPY via IG Client Sentiment.

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AUD/USD Forecast: Failure at 200-Day SMA Warns of Further Losses

AUD/USD extends the decline from the monthly high (0.6939) following the string of failed attempts to close above the 200-Day SMA (0.6906).

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USD Prices May Rise on Bullish Technical Hint. GBP, AUD, NZD Fall

The US Dollar on average had its best day since September, leaving behind a bullish technical signal on British Pound weakness. Risk aversion weakened sentiment-linked AUD and NZD.

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US Dollar Volatility Report: USD/CAD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY

The US Dollar will likely take cue from counterpart price action – specifically USD/CAD, GBP/USD, NZD/USD and USD/JPY – considering economic event risk slated for Wednesday’s trading session.

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Can Semiconductors Lead the Index Higher?

The Nasdaq 100 soared to record levels on Monday as the December 15-tariff deadline was successfully postponed. With Micron earnings ahead, can semiconductors extend the Nasdaq’s rally?

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British Pound Price Outlook: GBP/USD Snaps Back to Support

GBP/USD ran into resistance at the 1.3500 level last week, and price action is now more than 300 pips off of the highs.

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EUR/USD Reversal at Resistance, AUD/USD Corrective Pattern; Charts & More

In today's session, we discussed a few key FX developments both shorter and longer-term; Euro coming off trend resistance, Aussie carving out corrective formation.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Stuck to the Dominant Downtrend

Bitcoin trades back below $7,000 and remains glued to the downtrend started off the mid-year high. A break below $6,500 could see losses accelerate further.

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis - Euro Struggling to Break Higher

EUR/USD price action continues either side of the 200-day moving average while the last Friday's sell-off candle restricts further upside.

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Brexit Briefing: GBP/USD Eases on No-Deal Brexit Fears

Sterling is losing ground after UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson decided to add a clause to the Brexit Bill to stop any extension of UK-EU trade negotiations beyond the end of 2020.

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British Pound and FTSE 100 May Trim Gains on Brexit Woes

The selloff in the British Pound may echo into Europe’s trading hours and drag the benchmark FTSE 100 down with it as Brexit woes sap market confidence.

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Gold Prices Up Despite Risk Revival, US China Trade Hopes Lift Crude

Gold prices edged higher in a session which also saw strong gains for more pro-cyclical assets, suggesting that underlying haven bids aren’t being unwound despite trade optimism.

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The Singapore Dollar and MAS: What is SGD and How to Trade it?

The Singapore Dollar (SGD) is driven by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, which manages exchange rate instead of short-term interest rates. Learn more on the SGD and how to trade it.

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USD/CAD Analysis: Canadian Dollar Strength Abates Amid Delayed USMCA

The recent strength in the Canadian Dollar appears to be abating amid the ongoing delay in the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

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Australian Dollar Dips on Downbeat RBA Minutes, Jobs Data Up Next

The Australian Dollar wobbled just a little as the RBA said it was prepared to offer more stimulus and kept focus firmly on the labor market.

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British Pound, GBP/USD Outlook as No-Deal Brexit Fears Resurface

The British Pound fell on reports Boris Johnson sought to prevent a delay in Brexit during the transitional phase, raising prospects of a top in GBP/USD on bearish technical signals.

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US Dollar Outlook: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/SEK – Levels to Watch

The US Dollar is gravitating around 5-month lows as the Fed floods the market with liquidity via reverse repo operations. Where is USD price action headed next?

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Nasdaq 100 Forecast: Can Semiconductors Lead the Index Higher?

The Nasdaq 100 soared to record levels on Monday as the December 15-tariff deadline was successfully postponed. With Micron earnings ahead, can semiconductors extend the Nasdaq’s rally?

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Market Cycles | Phases, Stages, and Common Characteristics

Markets have been cycling since the beginning of time and will continue to do so for as long as they exist; in this piece a blueprint is laid out for how these occur and signposts to watch.

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US December PMI Data Prints Near Expectations

This morning brought the release of US services and manufacturing PMI for the month of December to the tune of 52.2 and 52.5 v/s the expectations of 52.0 and 52.6, respectively.

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Weekly US Dollar Forecast: Calendar Winds Down into Year-End

The forex economic calendar will do little by way of helping the US Dollar in the last full week of the year.

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US Dollar: GBP/USD Rallies, USD/CAD Sells-Off as AUD/USD Builds Base

Last week was big for global markets and a number of major currencies put in notable moves as year-end looms.

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Dow, Pound and Aussie Dollar Test Post Trade War, Election Breakouts

This past week showed a remarkable amount of volatility given the general market conditions and being so late in the season. Will a trade war breakthrough and UK election result that thaws the Brex...

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British Pound (GBP) Underpinned and Looking to Move Higher - Webinar

Sterling is off its best levels made at the end of last week but remains supported. In the equity space, the FSTE 100 and the FTSE 250 are powering ahead.

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Sterling (GBP) Price Outlook - Positive Sentiment But Don't Push Too Hard

Sterling remains better bid at the start of the week and is expected to push further higher, with little in the way of negative news to dampen the rally.

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British Pound May Fall on PMI Data, BoE Report, Brexit Talks

The British Pound may trim some of its recent post-election gains if the Bank of England’s financial stability report and PMI data spook markets. What’s next for Brexit?

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Crude Oil Prices Slip as Lack of US-China Trade Detail Worries Investors

Crude oil prices had done well last week as trade and Brexit risks appeared to recede. However, a lack of detail in US-China talks has investors fretting that progress may be less significant than ...

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Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11213 for -18.3 pips, total for today -18.3 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

Closed Sell #EURUSD 1.11213 for -18.3 pips, total for today -18.3 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) December 16, 2019

from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10

December 16, 2019 at 07:44AM
via Twitter

FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.

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AUD/USD Fails to Close Above 200-Day SMA Despite US-China Trade Deal

The failed attempt to close above the 200-Day SMA (0.6909) undermines the recent advance in AUD/USD amid the historical tendency around the moving average.

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World's Oldest Central Bank to Exit Negative Rate Policy First

The Riksbank – the world’s oldest central bank - will exit its negative interest rate policy for the first time in known history as officials explore uncharted territory with unknown consequences.

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Indonesian Rupiah, Malaysian Ringgit May Rise on US-China Deal

The Indonesian Rupiah, Malaysian Ringgit, Philippine Peso and Singapore Dollar may continue their rise against the US Dollar on global optimism amid a US-China trade deal.

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Gold Price Holds Support Zone as Trump Negotiates Phase Two Trade Deal

The ongoing shift in US trade policy may continue to sway the price of gold as the Trump administration “will begin negotiations on the Phase Two Deal immediately.”

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Australian Dollar Spikes as China Retail, Industrial Figures Beat Forecasts

The Australian Dollar had been in retreat as US-China trade optimism was tempered, but it gained on stronger numbers out of the world's second-largest economy.

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Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar Outlook as Week Begins

The Australian and New Zealand Dollars trimmed their gains as optimism on the US-China “phase one” trade deal faded. NZD/USD is at risk to turning lower on signs of technical indecision.

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Dow, Pound and Aussie Dollar Test Post Trade War, Election Breakouts

This past week showed a remarkable amount of volatility given the general market conditions and being so late in the season. Will a trade war breakthrough and UK election result that thaws the Brex...

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Dow Jones, DAX 30, FTSE 100 Forecasts: Major Risks Are Removed

Stocks enjoyed a broad removal of risk last week as the US and China seemingly reached a phase one trade deal while the UK general election saw conservatives gain an outright majority. What’s next?

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Sterling (GBP) Weekly Forecast - Short-Term Opportunities Opening Up

The UK population voted the Conservative government back in with a strong majority, giving PM Johnson the backing to push Brexit through. And Sterling (GBP) likes it.

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Euro Outlook May Darken on Slow Growth, Dovish ECB

The Euro may fall as the EU-US trade spat hurts already sluggish economic growth, locking in an ultra-dovish ECB stance and cementing its yield disadvantage.

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Gold Price Outlook Bearish on Easing Trade Tensions, GDP Data

Gold prices may suffer if better-than-expected US economic data and progress on US-China trade negotiations cool 2020 Fed rate cuts and alleviate demand for anti-fiat hedges.

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Oil Price Outlook Mired by Sticky US Crude Output

The price of oil preserves the advance following the OPEC meeting as the US and China, the two largest consumers of crude, reach a trade deal.

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US Dollar Outlook: FX Volatility Rising from Extreme Lows – USD Levels to Watch

Currency volatility is showing signs of resuscitating as the US Dollar Index breaks down to its lowest level since July despite the FOMC confirming its shift from dovish to neutral on rates.

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Dow Jones & DAX 30 Outlook: German Stocks to Close the Gap?

The Dow Jones and DAX 30 both enjoyed a boost from positive trade headlines this week, but new ECB policy and Brexit clarity could see the DAX 30 outperform US equities in the weeks to come.

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Euro Forecast: Reversals Gather Pace in EUR/JPY, EUR/USD

After the December ECB meeting and the UK general election, the EUR-crosses are giving up their gains.

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Canadian Dollar Outlook: USD/CAD Slides into Support– Loonie Trade Levels

The Canadian Dollar is firmer on the week against with price testing confluence support on Friday. Here are the levels that matter on the USD/CAD technical charts.

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Sold #EURUSD 1.11213 SL 1.11396 TP 1.10472 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

Sold #EURUSD 1.11213 SL 1.11396 TP 1.10472 https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) December 13, 2019

from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10

December 13, 2019 at 05:20PM
via Twitter

FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.

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Dow Jones Surges, Yuan Spikes as China Confirms Trade Deal with US

Stocks in the Dow Jones and S&P 500 are soaring alongside the Chinese Yuan as Beijing confirms trade negotiators have reached a partial deal in text with Washington and cancelation of Dec 15 tariffs.

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Closed Buy #EURUSD 1.11864 for -31.3 pips, total for today -199.2 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

Closed Buy #EURUSD 1.11864 for -31.3 pips, total for today -199.2 pips https://t.co/xFd9dthB52

— Federico Jose (@fedejose10) December 13, 2019

from Twitter https://twitter.com/fedejose10

December 13, 2019 at 04:01PM
via Twitter

FuchsTraders bietet Forex-Nachrichten der Wirtschaftsdaten und politischen Events, die die Währungsmärkte beeinflussen.

Links

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•  FacebookFfa
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Traden Sie den EUR/USD professionell mit einem Konto von Active Trades.